China Telecommunications Report

Sep, 2016   |   84  Pages   |   BMI Telecommunications   |   Format : PDF
BMI View: Operator strategies will continue to chime with the government's directive to drive uptake of wireline broadband and machine-to-machine (M2M) connections. However, this means that even as subscription numbers rise, the prices of basic services will be compressed and operators will derive profit growth by developing and bundling value-added services with basic connectivity..

Latest Updates & Industry Developments

-The Ministry of Industry and Information Technology (MIIT) reports that total 3G and 4G subscribers reached 808.6mn in 2015, a 34% growth y-o-y. Subscriber numbers released by individual operators show that market leader China Mobile leads the race with an 80.9% share of the 4G market, while China Unicom and China Telecom have shares of 4.0% and 15.1% respectively. We believe 3G/4G subscribers will rise to 942.63bn in 2016.

-The expansion of fixed broadband networks will be supported by the government through funding and opening up of the sector to private competitors.

This will lead to growth in broadband subscribers from 213.4mn at end-2015 to 271.4mn by 2019, though subscriber growth will be outstripped by mobile data.
BMI Industry View ............... 7
SWOT .... 8
Industry Forecast .............. 10
Latest Updates ....... 10
Structural Trends ... 10
Table: Telecoms Sector - Historical Data & Forecasts (China 2013-2020)......... . . . 14
Industry Trend Analysis ............ 15
Industry Risk Reward Index ............. 20
Asia Pacific Risk/Reward Index .. 20
Table: APAC Telecoms Risk/Reward Index, Q416............ . . . . . 22
China Risk/Reward Index .......... 23
Market Overview ............... 25
Market Drivers & Trends ......... 25
Mobile . 25
Wireline Voice & Broadband .... 30
Regulatory Development .. 34
Industry Risks ........ 34
Main Development: Changing The Competitive Landscape ............ 35
Additional Developments ......... 37
Table: Division Of Regulatory Responsibilities In China........... . . . . . . 38
Main Development: Increasing Competition 39
Additional Developments ......... 39
Competitive Landscape .... 40
Table: China Telecoms Market Key Players............. . . . 40
Table: China Telecoms Operator Revenues, 2007-2015 (USDmn).......... . . . . 40
Mobile Operator Data ............ 40
Table: China Mobile Market Overview.............. . 40
Table: China Mobile................ . . . . 41
Table: China Unicom................ . . . 44
Table: China Telecom................ . . 45
Company Profile 47
China Mobile .......... 47
China Telecom ........ 52
China Unicom ......... 57
Demographic Forecast ..... 62
Table: Population Headline Indicators (China 1990-2025)........... . . . . 63
Table: Key Population Ratios (China 1990-2025)............ . . . . . 63
Table: Urban/Rural Population & Life Expectancy (China 1990-2025).........64
Table: Population By Age Group (China 1990-2025)............ . . 64
Table: Population By Age Group % (China 1990-2025)...........65
Glossary ............. 67
Table: Glossary Of Terms............... . . . . . . 67
Appendix ............ 69
13th Five-Year Plan: Key Points 69
Summary Of Contents ............. 69
Chapter 1: Overview ............... 70
Table: Targets................. . . . 70
Chapter 2: Innovation To Drive Development .............. 71
Chapter 3: Economic Institutions .............. 72
Chapter 4: Modernisation Of The Agricultural Sector ... 73
Chapter 5: Industries .............. 74
Chapter 6: Expand The Network Economy .. 75
Chapter 7: Build A Modern Infrastructure Network ...... 75
Chapter 8: New-Type Urbanisation ........... 76
Chapter 9: Coordination Of Regional Development ...... 77
Chapter 10: Environmental Protection ....... 78
Chapter 11: Continue Opening Up ............ 78
Others: 78
Methodology ...... 80
Industry Forecast Methodology 80
Sources 82
Risk/Reward Index Methodology ............... 82
Table: Risk/Reward Index Indicators.............. . . . 83
Table: Weighting Of Indicators............... . 84
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